Social Security Fairness Act Could Cause New Problems

Analysis December 30, 2024 at 03:29 PM
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What You Need To Know

  • The Social Security Fairness Act, which is awaiting President Biden's signature, would repeal the Windfall Elimination Provision.
  • While many experts agree the WEP should go, simply repealing it makes the system more regressive and dents its funding.
  • There's a better way to make benefits fairer, a former SSA chief economist says.
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This is the latest in a series of columns about Social Security and retirement income planning.

Social Security experts broadly agree that the program’s windfall elimination provision (WEP) and the government pension offset (GPO) are both inherently flawed, but their anticipated repeal under the Social Security Fairness Act, which is awaiting President Joe Biden’s signature, is likely to cause new problems with benefit “fairness.”

That is, simply getting rid of WEP and GPO without also introducing reforms to protect benefit parity is likely to result in some workers who have split their time between non-covered government jobs that do not pay into Social Security and covered private-sector jobs that do getting substantially higher retirement benefits than other workers with essentially equal earnings histories.

Such workers tend to be relatively high earners in the first place — meaning the elimination of WEP and GPO without corresponding policy actions is likely to make Social Security more regressive.

To be clear, experts say there is no doubt that WEP and GPO aren’t working as intended by Congress, and there is strong bipartisan consensus in Washington that they need to go. As they work today, the provisions often harm the spouses of longtime government workers, especially in widowhood.

But the same experts have also cautioned Congress against taking the easy way out and not coupling the elimination of WEP and GPO with smart policy reforms to protect vulnerable retirees while also avoiding higher-than-intended benefits going to workers who are less likely to face poverty in retirement.

Unfortunately, that is exactly what Congress is set to do with the Social Security Fairness Act. While Biden hasn’t signed the legislation as of the publication of this article, all signs are that the bill is about to become law — with back payments also expected for 2024.

It’s a clear and important victory for vulnerable retirees who have dedicated substantial time and effort to government service (and their spouses), but one that is going to come at a price.

How the WEP Works

Among the best-informed experts on the WEP and its challenges is Jason Fichtner, a former chief economist for the Social Security Administration who is now vice president and chief economist at the Bipartisan Policy Center and a senior fellow at the Alliance for Lifetime Income. He has been called on several occasions to testify before Congress on this and related issues.

As Fichtner said at a House Ways and Means Committee hearing last year, the WEP is a challenging issue to confront.

As conceived in the early 1980s, the WEP is intended to ensure that Social Security beneficiaries are treated fairly and that benefits are provided only for years in which people paid into the Social Security system. But in reality the WEP can treat some high-income earners as if they were low-income earners.

To see how this might come about, Fichtner considered the example of two workers who turned 62 in 2024 with 35 years of covered employment and who began receiving Social Security benefits at their full retirement age. Under the normal benefit formula, each would receive a monthly benefit of $1,321 if their average annual lifetime earnings were $24,000 — a 66% replacement rate.

If their average earnings were $36,000, this would increase their benefit to $1,641, replacing 55% of their pre-retirement income. Average earnings of $100,000, in turn, would entitle them to $3,134 per month, a 38% replacement rate. This reduced rate reflects the intended “progressive” nature of Social Security.

However, what if we consider workers with the same average annual lifetime earnings but who have 20 years of non-covered employment and 15 years of covered employment? The Social Security program treats the years of non-covered employment as $0 years for purposes of calculating the average indexed monthly earnings (AIME).

Thus, for the worker with average adjusted annual income of $24,000, 20 of the 35 years are considered $0. Hence, the resulting average annual earnings (adjusted for wage growth) is only $10,286.

The $24,000-per-year worker is mistakenly viewed by Social Security as a lower-wage, $10,000-per-year worker, and the non-WEP-adjusted monthly benefit amount would be $772.

While this benefit amount is nominally less than the $1,321 that the $24,000-per-year worker with a full career of covered employment received, their benefit now replaces 90% of their covered earnings — as opposed to the intended 66% replacement rate received by the worker with only covered earnings.

For the $100,000-per-year worker, the replacement rate jumps to 51% as opposed to 38%. In other words, this worker now receives a “windfall” in the form of a benefit that replaces a much higher proportion of covered earnings than it would otherwise.

To correct for this potential “windfall,” the WEP adjusts the benefit formula. The first benefit bend point is reduced from 90% income replacement to as little as 40%.

So, Why Repeal the WEP?

As Fichtner testified, this seems like sound policy, and the theory behind it is solid. But there are also some big issues with its implementation in practice — starting with the fact that the WEP formula itself is complicated and hard to explain to beneficiaries.

Further, the current Social Security statement provides estimated monthly benefit amounts that are not adjusted for the WEP. While the statement does include a note to all recipients that they could be subject to the WEP and that their benefits may be reduced if they have earnings from work not covered by Social Security, the complexity of the program and the benefit formula result in beneficiaries likely learning about the WEP only when they first receive a WEP-reduced Social Security benefit check.

For people relying on the Social Security statement as a retirement planning tool, the current non-WEP-adjusted information in the statement could cause people to overestimate their financial readiness for retirement.

But from a pure policy perspective, Fichtner said, the bigger problem is essentially a data issue.

When the current formula for the WEP was established as part of the 1983 amendments to the Social Security Act, the Social Security Administration lacked the administrative records to accurately capture non-covered employment history. Hence, a proportional or prorated WEP was not possible, so a proxy formula had to be tabulated and adopted based on the government’s “best guess.”

In practice, that has meant that the application of the WEP has actually tended to overcorrect benefits — particularly for low-earning government workers and public servants. Add this overcorrection problem to the aforementioned communication issues and the result is a disruptive and damaging experience for many of the approximately 2 million beneficiaries who are currently subject to WEP reductions.

A Better Way?

Fichtner said he feels compassion for retirees who are blindsided by cuts to their hard-earned Social Security benefits, but he also has consistently argued against simply repealing WEP without introducing a more accurate and effective benefit parity framework.

“Given modern data collection practices, SSA now has 35 years of employment history including both covered and non-covered employment,” he observed. “Thus, we now have the information necessary to reform the WEP and move to a prorated formula.”

Fichtner’s personal recommendation to Congress is the creation of a “new WEP” that uses workers’ real average indexed monthly earnings across both covered and non-covered work to enable a truly “proportional” or prorated benefit formula.

Under the proposed new formula, the AIME is computed as it is currently but for all earnings, covered and non-covered combined. The combined-earnings primary insurance amount is then determined, which provides the replacement rate (PIA divided by AIME).

Next, an AIME is computed for covered earnings only. Finally, the combined-earnings replacement rate is applied to the covered-earnings AIME, resulting in the final PIA.

“For workers whose entire careers are in covered earnings, the resulting PIA is the same,” Fichtner explained. “However, for those with non-covered earnings, their PIA replaces the same proportion of their covered earnings as those with the same level of total earnings whose entire careers were spent in covered employment.”

In other words, the replacement rate on covered earnings would be the same and treat both workers with identical lifetime earnings history equally, thus restoring some fairness to the system while still maintaining the original intent of the WEP to avoid a “windfall” to those with non-covered earnings.

“The simplicity and fairness of the proposed new formula is that it would apply to all workers — those with both covered earnings only and those with both covered and non-covered earnings — making it easy for SSA to administer and for beneficiaries to better plan for retirement,” Fichtner concluded. “Additionally, under the proposed formula, the Social Security Statement could provide accurate monthly benefit projections to better enable people to plan for their financial security in retirement.”

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