With $124 Trillion Set to Transfer Through 2048, Are Wealth Managers Ready?

News December 09, 2024 at 04:01 PM
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What You Need To Know

  • Over the coming decade, almost all transfers will come from baby boomers and older generations.
  • Analysts project that $54 trillion will be transferred between spouses before it is transferred to heirs.
  • Wealthy households have come to expect a significant degree of bespoke services within their advised relationships.
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Some $124 trillion in wealth will transfer through 2048, with around $105 trillion expected to go to heirs and $18 trillion to charity, according to projections in a new report from Cerulli Associates.

Overall, heirs are inheriting around $2.5 trillion annually, and Cerulli analysts expect this figure to rise to more than $3 trillion annually by 2030 and to exceed $4 trillion around 2036. Gen X households inherit more than $1 trillion annually.

Cerulli said that amid these accelerating wealth transfers, it is critical for wealth managers, asset managers and other industry participants to enact best practices with current relationships while shifting service and product strategies to the future profile of the high-net-worth demographic.

Trillions in the Pipeline

Baby boomers and older generations will transfer nearly $100 trillion, or 81% of all transfers, the report projects. Over the coming decade, almost all transfers will come from these households.

More than half of the overall volume of transfers, $62 trillion, is expected to come from high-net-worth and ultra-high-net-worth households, which together make up around 2% of all households. Cerulli’s research found that these wealthy households are currently transferring more than $1 trillion annually to heirs.

Analysts’ projections of intragenerational transfers show that $54 trillion will be transferred between spouses before it is transferred intergenerationally to heirs. Some $40 trillion of these spousal transfers will go to widowed women in the boomer and older generations.

This will create an enormous need, and opportunity, for wealth services providers, Cerulli said.

The research indicates that millennials will inherit $46 trillion over the next quarter century, compared with $39 trillion for Gen Xers. However, Gen Xers will inherit the greatest portion of assets in the next 10 years, totaling $14 trillion to millennials’ $8 trillion.

“Eventually, most of the wealth owned by older generations in the U.S. will be either donated or passed down to Gen X or millennial heirs,” Cerulli senior analyst Chayce Horton said in a statement. “With $85 trillion to be passed down to these generations collectively, providers that can establish relationships with, and adequately address the needs of, these younger investors will be well positioned for success.”

Meeting Wealthy Clients’ Demands

Wealth managers across the industry continue to compete for the growing base of high-net-worth client assets by reviewing their product suites, technological capabilities and service offerings, according to the Cerulli report. At year-end 2023, total high-net-worth assets under management exceeded $20 trillion, an 18.3% year-over-year increase.

A Cerulli survey this year found that only 9% of practices offer artificial intelligence applications or tools, although nearly three-quarters plan to introduce this capability in the next three years.

That said, wealth management executives cite cost, regulatory and data/security concerns as primary obstacles to widespread adoption of AI, according to the survey.

Cerulli noted that wealthy households have come to expect a significant degree of bespoke services within their advised relationships. Nine in 10 such households place a premium on maintaining the right levels of contact and on advisors who understand their needs and goals.

Developing relationships with clients’ spouses or children is a top long-term growth strategy among high-net-worth practices surveyed, as wealth transfer and the prospect of wealth moving from primary clients to spouses and children becomes ever more urgent.

Eighty-nine percent of firms said that conducting family meetings and maintaining regular communication among family members is a key best practice.

“Ultimately, there are notable differences in service and product preferences among women and next-generation clients compared to current client demographics, and as wealth moves, these differences are likely to shift market share in favor of firms that are best prepared to meet the needs of those recipients,” Horton said.

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